30-Second Setup

What matters this week

  • Friday's August jobs report is the main macro event. It could have a major impact on expectations for the Fed's September rate decision.
  • Labor data starts earlier with JOLTS Tuesday and ADP Wednesday.
  • Broadcom reports Wednesday after the close, giving the AI and semiconductor trade another major test after Nvidia.
  • Dell, Palo Alto Networks, Snowflake, HPE and Lululemon are also among the notable earnings reports.
  • Focus: jobs, interest-rate expectations and whether tech can hold last week's momentum.

Market Setup: SPY

SPY finished Friday at $769.35 after a positive week for the broader market. The S&P 500 remains close to its recent highs, but this week's labor data could quickly change the rate outlook.

Friday High / Near-Term Resistance$775.30A break back above Friday's high would put the recent highs back in play.
Friday Low / Near-Term Support$768.31Losing Friday's low would weaken the short-term setup.
Recent Major High$779.37The August high remains the bigger upside reference.
What Matters MostJobs + RatesThis week's employment data could move Treasury yields and the broader market.

SPY takeaway: The market is still near its highs, but Friday's jobs report is the kind of catalyst that can quickly change momentum.

QQQ: AI Trade Gets Another Test

QQQ closed Friday at $716.43. Nvidia helped tech rebound last week, and now Broadcom becomes the next major AI-related earnings test.

Friday High / Near-Term Resistance$724.13Getting back above this area would strengthen the short-term tech setup.
Friday Low / Near-Term Support$715.09A break below Friday's low would put sellers back in control short term.
Last Week's Low$702.70This remains the larger downside reference if tech weakens.
Main CatalystAVGO โ€” WednesdayBroadcom's results and AI outlook could influence semiconductors and QQQ.

Key Earnings This Week

Broadcom is the main report, but a few other names are worth watching.

Tuesday โ€” DELL / PANWDell and Palo Alto Networks report after the close.
Wednesday โ€” AVGO / SNOW / HPEBroadcom is the biggest report of the week. Snowflake and HPE also report.
Thursday โ€” LULU / DOCULululemon gives a read on the consumer, while DocuSign adds another software report.
AI WatchAVGO and DELL should give traders another look at demand for AI infrastructure after Nvidia's strong results.

Economic Calendar

The labor market is the main story this week, building toward Friday's employment report.

DateEventWhy Traders Care
Mon. Aug. 31Light U.S. economic calendarAttention stays on rates, geopolitical headlines and positioning ahead of the week's labor data.
Tue. Sep. 1ISM Manufacturing; JOLTS โ€” 10:00 AM ETJOLTS gives the first major labor-market read of the week, while ISM measures manufacturing activity.
Wed. Sep. 2ADP Employment โ€” 8:15 AM ET; Factory Orders โ€” 10:00 AM ET; Fed Beige BookADP provides another employment signal before Friday's jobs report.
Thu. Sep. 3Jobless Claims โ€” 8:30 AM ET; ISM Services โ€” 10:00 AM ETClaims and services data provide the final major economic reads before Friday.
Fri. Sep. 4August Jobs Report โ€” 8:30 AM ETThe main event. Payrolls, unemployment and wage growth could shift expectations for the Fed's September meeting.

Earnings to Watch

AVGO โ€” Broadcom

Wednesday after the close. The biggest earnings report of the week. Traders will be watching AI revenue, custom chips and guidance for signs that infrastructure spending remains strong after Nvidia's report.

DELL โ€” Dell Technologies

Tuesday after the close. Dell offers another read on AI server demand and enterprise technology spending.

PANW โ€” Palo Alto Networks

Tuesday after the close. A key cybersecurity report that can influence sentiment across the software and security group.

Dagger Trading Take

Jobs could decide the week.

The market enters the week close to its highs, but rate expectations remain sensitive after Jackson Hole.

Broadcom gives the AI trade another important test Wednesday, then Friday's jobs report can change the entire market setup before the long weekend.

๐Ÿ—ก๏ธ Know the catalyst. Wait for the reaction.

Sources

SPY and QQQ reference levels use August 28, 2026 regular-session market data and are intended as simple reference points, not predictions. Content is educational and informational only and is not financial advice.